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🏈 (Updated 7:15 pm ET) Week 4 Kicks off with Lions vs. Packers - Betting Odds, Picks & Tips

🏈 (Updated 7:15 pm ET) Week 4 Kicks off with Lions vs. Packers - Betting Odds, Picks & Tips

Where to watch: Prime Video & NFL+

Kevin Draft
September 28, 2023

Game Day Insights
Read Time: 2.3 mins

Welcome to Thursday Night Football - Week 4!

THURSDAY, SEPT 28

Look, I'm not suggesting the NFL should skip Week 4, but after the insanity of Week 3, taking a breather might not be the worst idea.

Why?

Because you'd think an NFL team racking up 70 points would dominate headlines, but then, out of nowhere, Taylor Swift shows up at the Chiefs game and all hell breaks loose.

Here’s hoping she doesn’t make an appearance at the Jets vs. Chiefs game this Sunday. My algorithms will never survive.

It’s almost game time. Let’s get it!

Thursday Night Football: Lions at Packers
Where to Watch
The Injury Report
The Inactive List (updated 7:15 pm ET)

Lions (2-1) at Packers (2-1)

WHERE: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wis.)
WHEN: 8:15 p.m. ET | Prime Video, NFL+
MONEYLINE: Lions: -135 | Packers: +115
SPREAD: Lions -2.0 | O/U: 45.0
Get Lions 2023 Fan Shop Gear | Get Packers 2023 Fan Shop Gear

In Week 4, the NFC North gets exciting.

While the division title isn't directly up for grabs, the winner of tonight’s game is poised to be the front-runner.

The Bears haven’t impressed, putting them out of the race. Meanwhile, the Vikings, at 0-3 in one-score games after a stellar 11-0 last year, are lagging. This sets the stage for the Packers and Lions to vie for division dominance.

The Packers have been unpredictable. They nearly had a 3-0 start but faltered in Week 2 against the Falcons. On the other hand, they could have been at 1-2 if not for the Saints’ own misstep in Week 3. Jordan Love's performance has been a mixed bag: brilliant for half the game, but lackluster in the other half.

A key factor to note: in Week 2, Love completed only 7 of 17 passes in the first half. Such inconsistency allowed the Saints to get ahead. If this trend persists, the Lions could capitalize and secure the win.

Our Take

The Packers will be seeking revenge against the Lions at Lambeau after their previous prime-time loss which affected their playoff chances.

However, Detroit has strengthened its defense, with notable players like Aidan Hutchinson and rookie Brian Branch.

The Packers are optimistic about Jordan Love's capabilities, but his performance under such intense pressure remains to be seen.

Additionally, several key Packers players, including Aaron Jones and Jaire Alexander, are battling injuries, even though Rashan Gary has made a strong return.

Despite the Packers' home advantage, given their health issues and uncertainties about Love's performance in a prime-time game, the prediction is in favor of the Lions winning and leading the NFC North.

Fast Facts:

The Packers are one of three teams that are 3–0 against the spread.
The Lions were only installed as a road favorite once last season, a game they lost 37–23 to the Panthers.
Detroit quarterback Jared Goff ranks fifth in the NFL in passing yards (819).
Green Bay linebacker Rashan Gary is tied for the sixth-most sacks in the league (3.5).
The Lions have covered 10 straight division games, tied for the 2nd-longest divisional cover streak in the Super Bowl era.
The Lions are 10-2 ATS against the Packers since 2017.
The Packers are 3-0 ATS this season, all as underdogs.
Prime-time unders are 132-87-4 (.603) over the last five seasons.